June 25, 2026 at 10:01 AM 2 min readmarketsanalysis

Gold and Silver Prices Tumble as US Dollar Strengthens and Fed Stance Tightens

Precious Metal Downturn:

Precious metal markets, including gold and silver, have recorded sharp declines throughout June 2026. Spot silver has plummeted by over 14% this week alone, reaching a seven-month low near $56.35 per ounce, which represents a massive correction of over 50% from the all-time high of $121.78 per ounce observed in January 2026. Similarly, MCX silver futures in India have fallen significantly, recently trading around ₹2,10,308 per kilogram, with market analysts monitoring support levels near the ₹2,00,000 mark.

Policy and Macroeconomic Drivers:

The primary catalysts for this volatility include a stronger US Dollar Index (DXY), which has surged above the 101.5 level, and an increasingly hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve. Under Chairman Kevin Warsh, the central bank has signaled potential further interest rate hikes, with market sentiment now factoring in a roughly 67% probability of an increase by September 2026. The shift away from non-yielding assets, combined with the easing of geopolitical tensions following the US-Iran ceasefire agreement, has substantially reduced the safe-haven demand that previously fueled bullion prices.

Equity Market Impact:

The broader selloff has extended to commodity-exposed equities, with Hindustan Zinc shares falling 14% in June due to silver price fluctuations. Additionally, gold loan NBFCs like Muthoot Finance and Manappuram Finance have seen stock declines of up to 3.5%, reflecting investor concerns regarding potential impacts on loan-to-value ratios and non-performing asset levels. While the current correction is steep, market watchers remain focused on whether further speculative unwinding will persist as investors reallocate capital following the recent tech-led equity market volatility.
Pulse Intelligence
AI Analysis
  • Gold and silver reached historic highs in January 2026 before entering a sustained correction period throughout the first half of the year.
  • The Federal Reserve has shifted to a more hawkish policy stance under Chairman Kevin Warsh to combat persistent inflationary pressures.
  • Geopolitical stability, particularly the de-escalation between the US and Iran, has removed significant risk premiums from precious metals.
  • Gold loan companies may tighten lending criteria or reduce loan disbursements to account for the diminished collateral value of pledged gold.
  • Investors may continue to rotate out of bullion and into yield-bearing assets if the US Federal Reserve proceeds with further rate hikes.
  • Silver-producing entities will face continued margin pressure until commodity prices stabilize or show signs of support at technical levels.

MCX gold and silver futures volatility is putting pressure on Indian NBFC stocks and precious metal-focused miners.