June 28, 2026 at 06:31 PM 2 min readmarketsanalysis

Dalal Street Shows Resilience as Equity Markets Signal Recovery

Equity Market Recovery:

Indian stock markets closed the week ending June 28, 2026, with modest gains, signaling a potential turnaround after several months of underperformance. The BSE Sensex added 297.57 points to reach 77,100, while the NSE Nifty moved to 24,056. This upward momentum follows an improvement in geopolitical stability and a reduction in crude oil prices, which traditionally eases cost pressures for domestic industries. Foreign institutional investors have begun selective buying, providing a counterbalance to the selling pressure observed earlier in June.

Structural Drivers of Growth:

Analysts from ICICI Securities and JP Morgan note that domestic equities are becoming more attractive due to reasonable valuations and policy shifts. The current price-to-earnings ratio has moderated to around 18x, down from previous highs of 24x. Recent changes in capital gains taxation—now set at 12.5% for long-term equity—and the exclusion of indexation benefits for other assets have redirected investor capital toward the stock market. Growing participation through Systematic Investment Plans has emerged as a cornerstone of retail stability, offering a reliable buffer against periodic external market volatility.

Corporate Performance and Outlook:

Large-cap firms led the market gains this week, with ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank recording significant additions to their market valuations. Aditya Infotech continued its rally, reporting a 45.6% year-on-year increase in total income, though some analysts warn that its current valuation of 47x EV/Ebitda requires cautious monitoring. While indices have moved higher, risks such as potential El Nino weather patterns and shifting monetary policies from the US Federal Reserve remain on the horizon. Investors are advised to watch sector-specific tailwinds in renewable energy and IT as the capital expenditure cycle gains further momentum.
Pulse Intelligence
AI Analysis
  • Indian markets faced a prolonged weak phase beginning in September 2024, characterized by volatility and FII outflows.
  • Recent government policy changes, including long-term capital gains tax adjustments, have altered the attractiveness of various asset classes.
  • Persistent retail inflows via Systematic Investment Plans are likely to dampen the impact of any sudden FII pullbacks.
  • Strong earnings growth in mid-cap sectors could continue to drive market breadth in the coming quarters.
  • Investors should remain vigilant regarding weather-related risks that may influence inflation and commodity prices.

Domestic markets reflect renewed confidence with six of the top ten firms adding nearly ₹88,678 crore to market capitalization.